Publications

2024

Harrison, Nicholas E, Robert Ehrman, Sean Collins, Ankit A Desai, Nicole M Duggan, Rob Ferre, Luna Gargani, et al. (2024) 2024. “The Prognostic Value of Improving Congestion on Lung Ultrasound During Treatment for Acute Heart Failure Differs Based on Patient Characteristics at Admission.”. Journal of Cardiology 83 (2): 121-29. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jjcc.2023.08.003.

BACKGROUND: Lung ultrasound congestion scoring (LUS-CS) is a congestion severity biomarker. The BLUSHED-AHF trial demonstrated feasibility for LUS-CS-guided therapy in acute heart failure (AHF). We investigated two questions: 1) does change (∆) in LUS-CS from emergency department (ED) to hospital-discharge predict patient outcomes, and 2) is the relationship between in-hospital decongestion and adverse events moderated by baseline risk-factors at admission?

METHODS: We performed a secondary analysis of 933 observations/128 patients from 5 hospitals in the BLUSHED-AHF trial receiving daily LUS. ∆LUS-CS from ED arrival to inpatient discharge (scale -160 to +160, where negative = improving congestion) was compared to a primary outcome of 30-day death/AHF-rehospitalization. Cox regression was used to adjust for mortality risk at admission [Get-With-The-Guidelines HF risk score (GWTG-RS)] and the discharge LUS-CS. An interaction between ∆LUS-CS and GWTG-RS was included, under the hypothesis that the association between decongestion intensity (by ∆LUS-CS) and adverse outcomes would be stronger in admitted patients with low-mortality risk but high baseline congestion.

RESULTS: Median age was 65 years, GWTG-RS 36, left ventricular ejection fraction 36 %, and ∆LUS-CS -20. In the multivariable analysis ∆LUS-CS was associated with event-free survival (HR = 0.61; 95 % CI: 0.38-0.97), while discharge LUS-CS (HR = 1.00; 95%CI: 0.54-1.84) did not add incremental prognostic value to ∆LUS-CS alone. As GWTG-RS rose, benefits of LUS-CS reduction attenuated (interaction p < 0.05). ∆LUS-CS and event-free survival were most strongly correlated in patients without tachycardia, tachypnea, hypotension, hyponatremia, uremia, advanced age, or history of myocardial infarction at ED/baseline, and those with low daily loop diuretic requirements.

CONCLUSIONS: Reduction in ∆LUS-CS during AHF treatment was most associated with improved readmission-free survival in heavily congested patients with otherwise reassuring features at admission. ∆LUS-CS may be most useful as a measure to ensure adequate decongestion prior to discharge, to prevent early readmission, rather than modify survival.

Goldsmith, Andrew J, Joseph Brown, Nicole M Duggan, Tomer Finkelberg, Nick Jowkar, Joseph Stegeman, Matthew Riscinti, Arun Nagdev, and Richard Amini. (2024) 2024. “Ultrasound-Guided Nerve Blocks in Emergency Medicine Practice: 2022 Updates.”. The American Journal of Emergency Medicine 78: 112-19. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ajem.2023.12.043.

OBJECTIVES: In the Emergency Department (ED), ultrasound-guided nerve blocks (UGNBs) have become a cornerstone of multimodal pain regimens. We investigated current national practices of UGNBs across academic medical center EDs, and how these trends have changed over time.

METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional electronic survey of academic EDs with ultrasound fellowships across the United States. Twenty-item questionnaires exploring UGNB practice patterns, training, and complications were distributed between November 2021-June 2022. Data was manually curated, and descriptive statistics were performed. The survey results were then compared to results from Amini et al. 2016 UGNB survey to identify trends.

RESULTS: The response rate was 80.5% (87 of 108 programs). One hundred percent of responding programs perform UGNB at their institutions, with 29% (95% confidence interval (CI), 20%-39%) performing at least 5 blocks monthly. Forearm UGNB are most commonly performed (96% of programs (95% CI, 93%-100%)). Pain control for fractures is the most common indication (84%; 95% CI, 76%-91%). Eighty-five percent (95% CI, 77%-92%) of programs report at least 80% of UGNB performed are effective. Eighty-five percent (95% CI, 66%-85%) of programs have had no reported complications from UGNB performed by emergency providers at their institution. The remaining 15% (95% CI, 8%-23%) report an average of 1 complication annually.

CONCLUSIONS: All programs participating in our study report performing UGNB in their ED, which is a 16% increase over the last 5 years. UGNB's are currently performed safely and effectively in the ED, however practice improvements can still be made. Creating multi-disciplinary committees at local and national levels can standardize guidelines and practice policies to optimize patient safety and outcomes.

Fischetti, Chanel, Emily Frisch, Michael Loesche, Andrew Goldsmith, Ben Mormann, Joseph S Savage, Roger Dias, and Nicole Duggan. (2024) 2024. “Space Ultrasound: A Proposal for Competency-Based Ultrasound Training for In-Flight Space Medicine.”. The Western Journal of Emergency Medicine 25 (2): 275-81. https://doi.org/10.5811/westjem.18422.

Space travel has transformed in the past several years. Given the burgeoning market for space tourism, in-flight medical emergencies are likely to be expected. Ultrasound is one of the few diagnostic and therapeutic modalities available for astronauts in space. However, while point-of-care ultrasound (POCUS) is available, there is no current standard of training for astronaut preparation. We suggest an organized and structured methodology by which astronauts should best prepare for space with the medical equipment available on board. As technology continues to evolve, the assistance of other artificial intelligence and augmented reality systems are likely to facilitate training and dynamic real-time needs during space emergencies. Summary: As space tourism continues to evolve, an organized methodology for POCUS use is advised to best prepare astronauts for space.

Duggan, Nicole M, Mike Jin, Maria Alejandra Duran Mendicuti, Stephen Hallisey, Denie Bernier, Lauren A Selame, Ameneh Asgari-Targhi, et al. (2024) 2024. “Gamified Crowdsourcing As a Novel Approach to Lung Ultrasound Data Set Labeling: Prospective Analysis.”. Journal of Medical Internet Research 26: e51397. https://doi.org/10.2196/51397.

BACKGROUND: Machine learning (ML) models can yield faster and more accurate medical diagnoses; however, developing ML models is limited by a lack of high-quality labeled training data. Crowdsourced labeling is a potential solution but can be constrained by concerns about label quality.

OBJECTIVE: This study aims to examine whether a gamified crowdsourcing platform with continuous performance assessment, user feedback, and performance-based incentives could produce expert-quality labels on medical imaging data.

METHODS: In this diagnostic comparison study, 2384 lung ultrasound clips were retrospectively collected from 203 emergency department patients. A total of 6 lung ultrasound experts classified 393 of these clips as having no B-lines, one or more discrete B-lines, or confluent B-lines to create 2 sets of reference standard data sets (195 training clips and 198 test clips). Sets were respectively used to (1) train users on a gamified crowdsourcing platform and (2) compare the concordance of the resulting crowd labels to the concordance of individual experts to reference standards. Crowd opinions were sourced from DiagnosUs (Centaur Labs) iOS app users over 8 days, filtered based on past performance, aggregated using majority rule, and analyzed for label concordance compared with a hold-out test set of expert-labeled clips. The primary outcome was comparing the labeling concordance of collated crowd opinions to trained experts in classifying B-lines on lung ultrasound clips.

RESULTS: Our clinical data set included patients with a mean age of 60.0 (SD 19.0) years; 105 (51.7%) patients were female and 114 (56.1%) patients were White. Over the 195 training clips, the expert-consensus label distribution was 114 (58%) no B-lines, 56 (29%) discrete B-lines, and 25 (13%) confluent B-lines. Over the 198 test clips, expert-consensus label distribution was 138 (70%) no B-lines, 36 (18%) discrete B-lines, and 24 (12%) confluent B-lines. In total, 99,238 opinions were collected from 426 unique users. On a test set of 198 clips, the mean labeling concordance of individual experts relative to the reference standard was 85.0% (SE 2.0), compared with 87.9% crowdsourced label concordance (P=.15). When individual experts' opinions were compared with reference standard labels created by majority vote excluding their own opinion, crowd concordance was higher than the mean concordance of individual experts to reference standards (87.4% vs 80.8%, SE 1.6 for expert concordance; P<.001). Clips with discrete B-lines had the most disagreement from both the crowd consensus and individual experts with the expert consensus. Using randomly sampled subsets of crowd opinions, 7 quality-filtered opinions were sufficient to achieve near the maximum crowd concordance.

CONCLUSIONS: Crowdsourced labels for B-line classification on lung ultrasound clips via a gamified approach achieved expert-level accuracy. This suggests a strategic role for gamified crowdsourcing in efficiently generating labeled image data sets for training ML systems.

2023

Beaulieu-Jones, Brendin R, Jayson S Marwaha, Chris J Kennedy, Danny Le, Margaret T Berrigan, Larry A Nathanson, and Gabriel A Brat. (2023) 2023. “Comparing Rationale for Opioid Prescribing Decisions After Surgery With Subsequent Patient Consumption: A Survey of the Highest Quartile of Prescribers.”. Journal of the American College of Surgeons 237 (6): 835-43. https://doi.org/10.1097/XCS.0000000000000861.

BACKGROUND: Opioid prescribing patterns, including those after surgery, have been implicated as a significant contributor to the US opioid crisis. A plethora of interventions-from nudges to reminders-have been deployed to improve prescribing behavior, but reasons for persistent outlier behavior are often unknown.

STUDY DESIGN: Our institution employs multiple prescribing resources and a near real-time, feedback-based intervention to promote appropriate opioid prescribing. Since 2019, an automated system has emailed providers when a prescription exceeds the 75th percentile of typical opioid consumption for a given procedure-as defined by institutional data collection. Emails include population consumption metrics and an optional survey on rationale for prescribing. Responses were analyzed to understand why providers choose to prescribe atypically large discharge opioid prescriptions. We then compared provider prescriptions against patient consumption.

RESULTS: During the study period, 10,672 eligible postsurgical patients were discharged; 2,013 prescriptions (29.4% of opioid prescriptions) exceeded our institutional guideline. Surveys were completed by outlier prescribers for 414 (20.6%) encounters. Among patients where both consumption data and prescribing rationale surveys were available, 35.2% did not consume any opioids after discharge and 21.5% consumed <50% of their prescription. Only 93 (39.9%) patients receiving outlier prescriptions were outlier consumers. Most common reasons for prescribing outlier amounts were attending preference (34%) and prescriber analysis of patient characteristics (34%).

CONCLUSIONS: The top quartile of opioid prescriptions did not align with, and often far exceeded, patient postdischarge opioid consumption. Providers cite assessment of patient characteristics as a common driver of decision-making, but this did not align with patient usage for approximately 50% of patients.

Joseph, Joshua W, Evan L Leventhal, Anne Grossestreuer V, Paul C Chen, Benjamin A White, Larry A Nathanson, Noémie Elhadad, and Leon D Sanchez. (2023) 2023. “Machine Learning Methods for Predicting Patient-Level Emergency Department Workload.”. The Journal of Emergency Medicine 64 (1): 83-92. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jemermed.2022.10.002.

BACKGROUND: Work Relative Value Units (wRVUs) are a component of many compensation models, and a proxy for the effort required to care for a patient. Accurate prediction of wRVUs generated per patient at triage could facilitate real-time load balancing between physicians and provide many practical operational and clinical benefits.

OBJECTIVE: We examined whether deep-learning approaches could predict the wRVUs generated by a patient's visit using data commonly available at triage.

METHODS: Adult patients presenting to an urban, academic emergency department from July 1, 2016-March 1, 2020 were included. Deidentified triage information included structured data (age, sex, vital signs, Emergency Severity Index score, language, race, standardized chief complaint) and unstructured data (free-text chief complaint) with wRVUs as outcome. Five models were examined: average wRVUs per chief complaint, linear regression, neural network and gradient-boosted tree on structured data, and neural network on unstructured textual data. Models were evaluated using mean absolute error.

RESULTS: We analyzed 204,064 visits between July 1, 2016 and March 1, 2020. The median wRVUs were 3.80 (interquartile range 2.56-4.21), with significant effects of age, gender, and race. Models demonstrated lower error as complexity increased. Predictions using averages from chief complaints alone demonstrated a mean error of 2.17 predicted wRVUs per visit (95% confidence interval [CI] 2.07-2.27), the linear regression model: 1.00 wRVUs (95% CI 0.97-1.04), gradient-boosted tree: 0.85 wRVUs (95% CI 0.84-0.86), neural network with structured data: 0.86 wRVUs (95% CI 0.85-0.87), and neural network with unstructured data: 0.78 wRVUs (95% CI 0.76-0.80).

CONCLUSIONS: Chief complaints are a poor predictor of the effort needed to evaluate a patient; however, deep-learning techniques show promise. These algorithms have the potential to provide many practical applications, including balancing workloads and compensation between emergency physicians, quantify crowding and mobilizing resources, and reducing bias in the triage process.

Negro, Giuseppe, Livio Nicola Carenza, Giuseppe Gonnella, Fraser Mackay, Alexander Morozov, and Davide Marenduzzo. (2023) 2023. “Yield-Stress Transition in Suspensions of Deformable Droplets.”. Science Advances 9 (22): eadf8106. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adf8106.

Yield-stress materials, which require a sufficiently large forcing to flow, are currently ill-understood theoretically. To gain insight into their yielding transition, we study numerically the rheology of a suspension of deformable droplets in 2D. We show that the suspension displays yield-stress behavior, with droplets remaining motionless below a critical body-force. In this phase, droplets jam to form an amorphous structure, whereas they order in the flowing phase. Yielding is linked to a percolation transition in the contacts of droplet-droplet overlaps and requires strict conservation of the droplet area to exist. Close to the transition, we find strong oscillations in the droplet motion that resemble those found experimentally in confined colloidal glasses. We show that even when droplets are static, the underlying solvent moves by permeation so that the viscosity of the composite system is never truly infinite, and its value ceases to be a bulk material property of the system.

Garcia, Samuel I, Benjamin J Sandefur, Ronna L Campbell, Brian E Driver, Michael D April, Jestin N Carlson, Ron M Walls, and Calvin A Brown. (2023) 2023. “First-Attempt Intubation Success Among Emergency Medicine Trainees by Laryngoscopic Device and Training Year: A National Emergency Airway Registry Study.”. Annals of Emergency Medicine 81 (6): 649-57. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.annemergmed.2022.10.019.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: We compare intubation first-attempt success with the direct laryngoscope, hyperangulated video laryngoscope, and standard geometry video laryngoscope among emergency medicine residents at various postgraduate years (PGY) of training.

METHODS: We analyzed prospective data from emergency department (ED) patients enrolled in the National Emergency Airway Registry from January 1, 2016 to December 31, 2018 using mixed-effects logistic regression to assess the association between PGY of training and first-attempt success by the device.

RESULTS: Among 15,204 intubations performed by emergency medicine trainees, first-attempt success for PGY-1, PGY-2, and PGY3+ residents, respectively were: 78.8% (95% CI, 75.0 to 82.2%), 81.3% (79.4 to 83.0), and 83.6% (95% CI, 82.1 to 85.1) for direct laryngoscope; 87.2% (95% CI, 84.2 to 89.7), 90.4% (95% CI, 88.8 to 91.9%), and 91.2% (95% CI, 89.8 to 92.5%) for hyperangulated video laryngoscope; and 88.7% (95% CI, 86.1 to 90.9), 90.2% (95% CI, 88.7 to 91.5%), and 94.6% (95% CI 93.9 to 95.3%) for standard geometry video laryngoscope. Direct laryngoscope first-attempt success improved for PGY-2 (adjusted odds ratio [aOR],1.41; 95% CI, 1.09 to 1.82) and PGY-3+ (aOR, 1.76; 1.36 to 2.27) trainees compared to PGY-1. Hyperangulated video laryngoscope success also improved for PGY-2 (aOR, 1.51; 1.1 to 2.05) and PGY-3+ (aOR, 1.56; 1.15 to 2.13) trainees compared to PGY-1. For the standard geometry video laryngoscope, only PGY-3+ (aOR, 1.72; 1.25 to 2.36) was associated with improved first-attempt success compared to PGY-1.

CONCLUSION: Each laryngoscopy device class was associated with improvement in first-attempt success as training progressed. The video laryngoscope outperformed the direct laryngoscope for all operator groups, and PGY-1 trainees achieved higher first-attempt success using a standard geometry video laryngoscope than PGY-3+ trainees using a direct laryngoscope. These findings support the conjecture that in adult patients, a direct laryngoscope should not be routinely used for the first intubation attempt unless clinical circumstances, such as the presence of a soiled airway, would favor its success. These findings need to be validated with prospective randomized clinical trials.

Offenbacher, Joseph, Dhimitri A Nikolla, Jestin N Carlson, Silas W Smith, Nicholas Genes, Dowin H Boatright, and Calvin A Brown. (2023) 2023. “Incidence of Rescue Surgical Airways After Attempted Orotracheal Intubation in the Emergency Department: A National Emergency Airway Registry (NEAR) Study.”. The American Journal of Emergency Medicine 68: 22-27. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ajem.2023.02.020.

BACKGROUND: Cricothyrotomy is a critical technique for rescue of the failed airway in the emergency department (ED). Since the adoption of video laryngoscopy, the incidence of rescue surgical airways (those performed after at least one unsuccessful orotracheal or nasotracheal intubation attempt), and the circumstances where they are attempted, has not been characterized.

OBJECTIVE: We report the incidence and indications for rescue surgical airways using a multicenter observational registry.

METHODS: We performed a retrospective analysis of rescue surgical airways in subjects ≥14 years of age. We describe patient, clinician, airway management, and outcome variables.

RESULTS: Of 19,071 subjects in NEAR, 17,720 (92.9%) were ≥14 years old with at least one initial orotracheal or nasotracheal intubation attempt, 49 received a rescue surgical airway attempt, an incidence of 2.8 cases per 1000 (0.28% [95% confidence interval 0.21 to 0.37]). The median number of airway attempts prior to rescue surgical airways was 2 (interquartile range 1, 2). Twenty-five were in trauma victims (51.0% [36.5 to 65.4]), with neck trauma being the most common traumatic indication (n = 7, 14.3% [6.4 to 27.9]).

CONCLUSION: Rescue surgical airways occurred infrequently in the ED (0.28% [0.21 to 0.37]), with approximately half performed due to a trauma indication. These results may have implications for surgical airway skill acquisition, maintenance, and experience.